Winter is nearing, and the Old Farmer’s Almanac (not to be confused with the Farmer’s Almanac) has just released their long-range winter weather forecast for the 2018/19 season. Similar to the NOAA forecast recently released, the Old Farmer’s Almanac is calling for an El Niño season to bring warmer temperatures across most of the country this winter. (And just in case you’re considering a trip or permanent residence in Canada, here’s the latest Old Farmer’s Almanac Winter Weather Predictions for our neighbors up north.)
At a glance, the map looks very disheartening for all of us hoping for a cold and bountiful winter. However, it is important to not put too much stake in the forecast – even if they boast an “80-percent success rate since 1792.” How come you ask? For one, winter is still months away, and there is no telling how storm systems will form. Furthermore, on-hill conditions have long been dependent on individual storms and forecasts specific to mountain regions, not 6-month out predictions based on “animals, signals, cloud types, and pig spleens.”
When looking at the map we can see that the only geographical area that can really tout a big winter looks to be the Southwest, where they will see snowy conditions and a colder than average season. The remainder of the country will continue to see mild to warmer-than-average temperatures across the board. However, that is not to say that the mild temperatures and snowy sections across Wyoming, Montana, and Idaho won’t deliver.
Those in the Northeast, on the other hand, are predicted to see warm and wet conditions throughout. Those in Alaska are looking to expect mild temperatures and normal precipitation. The only places currently “guaranteed” to see more snow are the intermountain Rockies, parts of the Southwest, and a thin sliver of the nation’s midsection.
Again, it is important to reiterate that these reports, while an early disappointment, carry very little weight. However, for those interested, you can visit the Old Farmer’s Almanac website to learn a bit more about you too can predict next season’s weather using methods like using a goose bone or persimmon seed.
The Northeast Winter Weather Forecast
Winter will be milder than normal, on average, with above-normal precipitation and near-normal snowfall. The coldest periods will occur from late December into mid-January and late January into early February and in mid to late February. The snowiest periods will be in early January, early to mid-February, mid-March, and early April. April and May will be rainier than normal, with below-normal temperatures.
The Intermountain Region Winter Weather Forecast
Winter temperatures and precipitation will be above normal, on average, with the coldest periods in late December, early January, and early February. Snowfall will be above normal in the north and below normal in the south, with the snowiest periods in late November, late December, early and late January, mid to late February, and early March. April and May will have temperatures below normal in the north and above normal in the south and will be slightly drier than normal.
The Pacific Northwest Winter Weather Forecast
Winter will be warmer and much rainier than normal, with below-normal snowfall. The coldest periods will occur in early and late December, early January, and mid and late February, with the snowiest periods in early January and mid-February. April and May will be warmer and drier than normal.
The Upper Midwest Winter Weather Forecast
Winter will be slightly milder and drier than normal, with snowfall near to below normal. The coldest periods will be in early to mid-December, from later December into January, and from late January into February. The snowiest periods will be in mid and late November, early and mid-December, and early and late March. April and May will be slightly cooler and rainier than normal.
Alaska Winter Weather Forecast
Winter temperatures will be milder than normal, with the coldest periods in mid-January and early February. Precipitation will be above normal in the north, and below normal in the south, while snowfall will be near to below normal. The snowiest periods will be in early to mid-November and mid to late December. April and May will be warmer than normal, with slightly-above-normal precipitation.
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